Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
Return to calendar
FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Brandon NakashimaOpen full analysisLorenzo SonegoOpen full analysis

WimbledongrassR32Saturday, July 5, 2025
No-vig market probability
Nakashima 64%36% Sonego
1.52Recorded odds2.74
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Brandon NakashimaVSLorenzo Sonego
7Set 16
6Set 27
6Set 37
6Set 43
6Set 57

Lorenzo Sonego won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Brandon NakashimaLorenzo Sonego
41%
Career Win %
33%
17%
Win % on Grass
25%
85%
Holds Serve
82%
15%
Breaks Serve
13%
64%
1st Serve In
66%
74%
1st Serve Won
71%
34%
Return Pts Won
32%
9.2
Aces / match
6.1
36%
Tiebreak %
59%
44%
Deciding-set %
42%
1593
Rating
1442
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Brandon Nakashima199 serves
Where they place their serve
Lorenzo Sonego188 serves
Where they place their serve
28%Wide
8%Body
16%T
16%T
9%Body
23%Wide
23%Wide
13%Body
15%T
22%T
18%Body
10%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · Wide28%
Top targetDeuce · Wide23%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Lorenzo Sonego defeated Brandon Nakashima 6–7, 7–6, 7–6, 3–6, 7–6 in a five-set encounter at Wimbledon's second round on grass on 5 July 2025. The result constituted an upset, with Nakashima entering as the pre-match favourite at 1.52 odds against Sonego's 2.74. The match proved extraordinarily tight across the opening three sets, each decided in tiebreaks before Nakashima claimed the fourth set to force a decider. Sonego ultimately prevailed in the fifth-set tiebreak, demonstrating resilience and composure on the grass court. The Italian's victory represents a significant scalp against a higher-seeded opponent and propels him into the third round, whilst Nakashima's exit marks a disappointing early departure from the tournament.