Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Carlos AlcarazOpen full analysisCasper RuudOpen full analysis

Indian Wells MastershardR16Wednesday, March 11, 2026
No-vig market probability
Alcaraz 88%12% Ruud
1.07Recorded odds8.11
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Carlos AlcarazVSCasper Ruud
6Set 11
7Set 26

Carlos Alcaraz won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Carlos AlcarazCasper Ruud
80%
Career Win %
61%
78%
Win % on Hard
54%
86%
Holds Serve
85%
29%
Breaks Serve
20%
65%
1st Serve In
65%
72%
1st Serve Won
73%
41%
Return Pts Won
37%
4.4
Aces / match
5.3
59%
Tiebreak %
54%
67%
Deciding-set %
56%
1946
Rating
1698
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Carlos Alcaraz47 serves
Where they place their serve
Casper Ruud79 serves
Where they place their serve
21%Wide
2%Body
30%T
17%T
2%Body
28%Wide
19%Wide
4%Body
28%T
20%T
3%Body
27%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · T30%
Top targetDeuce · T28%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Carlos Alcaraz defeated Casper Ruud 6–1, 7–6 in the Indian Wells Masters R16 on hard court, confirming his status as the overwhelming pre-match favourite with odds of 1.07. The Spaniard's commanding first set gave way to a more competitive second, which he secured in a tie-break against the Norwegian. The result extends Alcaraz's dominance in this matchup and reinforces his position as a leading contender at the California Masters.