Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
Return to calendar
FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Carlos AlcarazOpen full analysisFélix Auger-AliassimeOpen full analysis

Tour FinalshardSFSaturday, November 15, 2025
No-vig market probability
Alcaraz 81%19% Auger-Aliassime
1.21Recorded odds5.06
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Carlos AlcarazVSFélix Auger-Aliassime
6Set 12
6Set 24

Carlos Alcaraz won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Carlos AlcarazFélix Auger-Aliassime
80%
Career Win %
49%
78%
Win % on Hard
50%
86%
Holds Serve
84%
29%
Breaks Serve
16%
65%
1st Serve In
64%
72%
1st Serve Won
76%
41%
Return Pts Won
35%
4.4
Aces / match
9.4
59%
Tiebreak %
48%
67%
Deciding-set %
56%
1946
Rating
1639
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Carlos Alcaraz51 serves
Where they place their serve
Félix Auger-Aliassime57 serves
Where they place their serve
25%Wide
0%Body
27%T
25%T
0%Body
22%Wide
19%Wide
2%Body
32%T
16%T
2%Body
30%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · T27%
Top targetDeuce · T32%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Carlos Alcaraz defeated Félix Auger-Aliassime 6–2, 6–4 in the semi-final of the ATP Tour Finals on hard court, confirming his status as the pre-match favourite with odds of 1.21 to Auger-Aliassime's 5.06. The Spaniard's commanding performance saw him advance to the final with a straightforward two-set victory, demonstrating the form that has secured his position as tournament favourite. Alcaraz's progression sets up a final against the winner of the other semi-final, while Auger-Aliassime's exit marks the end of his campaign at the season-concluding event.