Indian Wells MastershardR64Saturday, March 7, 2026
No-vig market probability
Alcaraz 92%8% Dimitrov
1.03Recorded odds12.05
FINAL RESULT
Match score
Carlos AlcarazVSGrigor Dimitrov
6Set 12
6Set 23
Carlos Alcaraz won the match
CAREER COMPARISON
Player records
Carlos AlcarazGrigor Dimitrov
80%
Career Win %
51%
78%
Win % on Hard
52%
86%
Holds Serve
83%
29%
Breaks Serve
18%
65%
1st Serve In
63%
72%
1st Serve Won
75%
41%
Return Pts Won
36%
4.4
Aces / match
6.8
59%
Tiebreak %
53%
67%
Deciding-set %
54%
1946
Rating
1724
SERVICE PLACEMENT
Serve targets from this match
Carlos Alcaraz49 serves
Where they place their serve
Grigor Dimitrov47 serves
Where they place their serve
18%Wide
4%Body
31%T
18%T
8%Body
20%Wide
23%Wide
13%Body
17%T
13%T
4%Body
30%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · T31%
Top targetAd · Wide30%
MATCH STORY
PhantomStat recap
Carlos Alcaraz defeated Grigor Dimitrov 6–2, 6–3 in the first round of the Indian Wells Masters on hard court, confirming his status as heavy pre-match favourite with odds of 1.03 to Dimitrov's 12.05. The Spaniard's dominance was evident from the outset, breaking serve consistently and maintaining control throughout both sets to secure a commanding victory in straight sets. Alcaraz's clinical performance underscores his continued form at the ATP Masters 1000 level, whilst Dimitrov's early exit suggests continued struggles on the hard court surface at Indian Wells this season.