Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
Return to calendar
FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Carlos AlcarazOpen full analysisHolger RuneOpen full analysis

BarcelonaclayFSunday, April 20, 2025
No-vig market probability
Alcaraz 81%19% Rune
1.20Recorded odds5.18
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Carlos AlcarazVSHolger Rune
6Set 17
2Set 26

Holger Rune won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Carlos AlcarazHolger Rune
80%
Career Win %
52%
83%
Win % on Clay
59%
86%
Holds Serve
79%
29%
Breaks Serve
17%
65%
1st Serve In
61%
72%
1st Serve Won
70%
41%
Return Pts Won
35%
4.4
Aces / match
5.1
59%
Tiebreak %
54%
67%
Deciding-set %
50%
1946
Rating
1565
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Carlos Alcaraz57 serves
Where they place their serve
Holger Rune72 serves
Where they place their serve
16%Wide
7%Body
30%T
16%T
5%Body
26%Wide
22%Wide
7%Body
22%T
14%T
7%Body
28%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · T30%
Top targetAd · Wide28%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Holger Rune defeated Carlos Alcaraz 7–6, 6–2 in the final of the ATP 250 Barcelona tournament on clay on 20 April 2025, delivering a significant upset against the heavy pre-match favourite. Alcaraz entered with odds of 1.2 to Rune's 5.18, yet the Dane controlled the match after a competitive opening set decided in a tie-break. Rune's dominance in the second set, where he dropped only two games, underscored his superior form on the day and his growing clay-court credentials. The victory marks a career-high title for Rune and signals a notable shift in their recent head-to-head dynamic.