Indian Wells MastershardSFSaturday, March 15, 2025
No-vig market probability
Alcaraz 73%27% Draper
1.33Recorded odds3.68
FINAL RESULT
Match score
Carlos AlcarazVSJack Draper
1Set 16
6Set 20
4Set 36
Jack Draper won the match
CAREER COMPARISON
Player records
Carlos AlcarazJack Draper
80%
Career Win %
52%
78%
Win % on Hard
61%
86%
Holds Serve
82%
29%
Breaks Serve
21%
65%
1st Serve In
60%
72%
1st Serve Won
73%
41%
Return Pts Won
37%
4.4
Aces / match
7.4
59%
Tiebreak %
62%
67%
Deciding-set %
25%
1946
Rating
1605
SERVICE PLACEMENT
Serve targets from this match
Carlos Alcaraz70 serves
Where they place their serve
Jack Draper69 serves
Where they place their serve
34%Wide
3%Body
16%T
13%T
3%Body
31%Wide
19%Wide
1%Body
33%T
12%T
0%Body
35%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · Wide34%
Top targetAd · Wide35%
MATCH STORY
PhantomStat recap
Jack Draper upset third seed Carlos Alcaraz 6-1, 0-6, 6-4 in the semi-final of the Indian Wells Masters on hard court, delivering a major upset despite entering as a 3.68 underdog against Alcaraz's 1.33 favourite odds. The British player's performance was strikingly inconsistent, dominating the opener before collapsing entirely in the second set, then recovering composure to clinch the decider in a tightly contested third. Alcaraz, seeking to add another Masters title to his growing collection, was unable to sustain momentum after his opening-set defeat and failed to convert opportunities when they arose. Draper's capacity to recover from a humbling second-set loss and close out the match demonstrates the mental resilience required at this level. The result propels Draper into the Indian Wells final and represents a significant scalp against one of the tour's elite players.