Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Carlos AlcarazOpen full analysisJannik SinnerOpen full analysis

Monte Carlo MastersclayFSunday, April 12, 2026
No-vig market probability
Alcaraz 49%51% Sinner
1.94Recorded odds1.85
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Carlos AlcarazVSJannik Sinner
6Set 17
3Set 26

Jannik Sinner won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Carlos AlcarazJannik Sinner
80%
Career Win %
78%
83%
Win % on Clay
77%
86%
Holds Serve
88%
29%
Breaks Serve
28%
65%
1st Serve In
61%
72%
1st Serve Won
76%
41%
Return Pts Won
41%
4.4
Aces / match
6.5
59%
Tiebreak %
69%
67%
Deciding-set %
56%
1946
Rating
2147
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Carlos Alcaraz92 serves
Where they place their serve
Jannik Sinner75 serves
Where they place their serve
22%Wide
4%Body
25%T
12%T
7%Body
30%Wide
16%Wide
1%Body
36%T
7%T
12%Body
28%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetAd · Wide30%
Top targetDeuce · T36%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Jannik Sinner defeated Carlos Alcaraz 7–6, 6–3 in the Monte Carlo Masters final on clay on 12 April 2026, confirming his status as the pre-match favourite with odds of 1.85 against Alcaraz's 1.94. Sinner's victory came via a tight opening set decided in a tie-break before he secured control in the second, breaking clear to claim the title. The result extends Sinner's dominance on the ATP circuit and underscores his mastery of clay surfaces, whilst Alcaraz's runner-up finish represents a missed opportunity to reclaim ground in their head-to-head rivalry.