Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Carlos AlcarazOpen full analysisJoao FonsecaOpen full analysis

Miami MastershardR64Friday, March 20, 2026
No-vig market probability
Alcaraz 83%17% Fonseca
1.14Recorded odds5.59
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Carlos AlcarazVSJoao Fonseca
6Set 14
6Set 24

Carlos Alcaraz won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Carlos AlcarazJoao Fonseca
80%
Career Win %
59%
78%
Win % on Hard
60%
86%
Holds Serve
84%
29%
Breaks Serve
20%
65%
1st Serve In
66%
72%
1st Serve Won
71%
41%
Return Pts Won
36%
4.4
Aces / match
5.5
59%
Tiebreak %
53%
67%
Deciding-set %
44%
1946
Rating
1601
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Carlos Alcaraz63 serves
Where they place their serve
Joao Fonseca67 serves
Where they place their serve
21%Wide
2%Body
30%T
16%T
3%Body
29%Wide
21%Wide
6%Body
25%T
18%T
4%Body
25%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · T30%
Top targetDeuce · T25%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Carlos Alcaraz defeated Joao Fonseca 6–4, 6–4 in the first round of the Miami Masters on hard court, confirming his status as the heavy pre-match favourite with odds of 1.14 to Fonseca's 5.59. The Spanish world number one controlled both sets with consistent tennis, breaking serve at crucial moments to secure a straightforward victory. Fonseca, despite the competitive odds suggesting a significant underdog role, offered resistance in each set but could not sustain the pressure required to trouble Alcaraz. The result maintains Alcaraz's strong early-season form on the ATP circuit ahead of the tournament's later stages.