Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Carlos AlcarazOpen full analysisLuca NardiOpen full analysis

Cincinnati MastershardR16Thursday, August 14, 2025
No-vig market probability
Alcaraz 92%8% Nardi
1.06Recorded odds11.64
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Carlos AlcarazVSLuca Nardi
6Set 11
6Set 24

Carlos Alcaraz won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Carlos AlcarazLuca Nardi
80%
Career Win %
22%
78%
Win % on Hard
29%
86%
Holds Serve
69%
29%
Breaks Serve
10%
65%
1st Serve In
63%
72%
1st Serve Won
67%
41%
Return Pts Won
30%
4.4
Aces / match
3.2
59%
Tiebreak %
0%
67%
Deciding-set %
50%
1946
Rating
1461
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Carlos Alcaraz46 serves
Where they place their serve
Luca Nardi66 serves
Where they place their serve
15%Wide
22%Body
17%T
13%T
24%Body
9%Wide
17%Wide
24%Body
11%T
12%T
24%Body
12%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetAd · Body24%
Top targetDeuce · Body24%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Carlos Alcaraz defeated Luca Nardi 6–1, 6–4 in the second round of the Cincinnati Masters on hard court, a result that aligned with pre-match expectations as the heavy favourite at 1.06 odds. The Spanish top seed's dominance was evident throughout, particularly in the opening set where he conceded only a single game to the Italian qualifier, who entered at 11.64 odds. Nardi offered modest resistance in the second set before Alcaraz sealed victory in straight sets, advancing smoothly through the draw. The comfortable margin reflects Alcaraz's current form and his continued momentum in Masters 1000 competition as he progresses towards the latter stages.