Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Carlos AlcarazOpen full analysisLuca NardiOpen full analysis

DohahardR16Wednesday, February 19, 2025
No-vig market probability
Alcaraz 95%5% Nardi
1.03Recorded odds20.74
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Carlos AlcarazVSLuca Nardi
6Set 11
4Set 26
6Set 33

Carlos Alcaraz won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Carlos AlcarazLuca Nardi
80%
Career Win %
22%
78%
Win % on Hard
29%
86%
Holds Serve
69%
29%
Breaks Serve
10%
65%
1st Serve In
63%
72%
1st Serve Won
67%
41%
Return Pts Won
30%
4.4
Aces / match
3.2
59%
Tiebreak %
0%
67%
Deciding-set %
50%
1946
Rating
1461
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Carlos Alcaraz73 serves
Where they place their serve
Luca Nardi85 serves
Where they place their serve
18%Wide
14%Body
22%T
14%T
5%Body
27%Wide
18%Wide
6%Body
27%T
16%T
6%Body
27%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetAd · Wide27%
Top targetDeuce · T27%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Carlos Alcaraz defeated Luca Nardi 6–1, 4–6, 6–3 in the second round of the ATP Masters 1000 event in Doha on hard court. As the heavy favourite at 1.03 odds, Alcaraz delivered the expected result against the substantial underdog Nardi, who carried 20.74 odds. The Spaniard dominated the first set decisively before Nardi mounted resistance in the second, breaking serve to force a decider. Alcaraz reasserted control in the third set to secure passage to the quarter-finals. The victory maintains Alcaraz's strong form at the Doha Masters and keeps him on track in what remains a crucial phase of the season for the top-ranked players.