Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Carlos AlcarazOpen full analysisMattia BellucciOpen full analysis

US OpenhardR64Thursday, August 28, 2025
No-vig market probability
Alcaraz 95%5% Bellucci
1.04Recorded odds18.27
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Carlos AlcarazVSMattia Bellucci
6Set 11
6Set 20
6Set 33

Carlos Alcaraz won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Carlos AlcarazMattia Bellucci
80%
Career Win %
50%
78%
Win % on Hard
53%
86%
Holds Serve
80%
29%
Breaks Serve
18%
65%
1st Serve In
62%
72%
1st Serve Won
71%
41%
Return Pts Won
36%
4.4
Aces / match
6.8
59%
Tiebreak %
50%
67%
Deciding-set %
50%
1946
Rating
1534
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Carlos Alcaraz58 serves
Where they place their serve
Mattia Bellucci83 serves
Where they place their serve
26%Wide
3%Body
26%T
22%T
0%Body
22%Wide
19%Wide
4%Body
28%T
18%T
7%Body
24%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · Wide26%
Top targetDeuce · T28%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Carlos Alcaraz defeated Mattia Bellucci 6–1, 6–0, 6–3 in the first round of the US Open on hard court, confirming his heavy pre-match favouritism with odds of 1.04 against Bellucci's 18.27. The Spaniard's dominance was absolute, particularly in the opening sets where he conceded just one game across both, before Bellucci offered modest resistance in the third. Alcaraz's clinical performance underscored his status as a leading contender at Flushing Meadows, with the Italian qualifier unable to generate meaningful pressure. The result sends Alcaraz into the second round without expending significant energy, maintaining momentum in his bid for a maiden US Open title.