Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Carlos AlcarazOpen full analysisNicolas JarryOpen full analysis

Paris MastershardR32Tuesday, October 29, 2024
No-vig market probability
Alcaraz 91%9% Jarry
1.08Recorded odds10.72
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Carlos AlcarazVSNicolas Jarry
7Set 15
6Set 21

Carlos Alcaraz won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Carlos AlcarazNicolas Jarry
80%
Career Win %
45%
78%
Win % on Hard
22%
86%
Holds Serve
85%
29%
Breaks Serve
14%
65%
1st Serve In
65%
72%
1st Serve Won
74%
41%
Return Pts Won
33%
4.4
Aces / match
8.1
59%
Tiebreak %
52%
67%
Deciding-set %
44%
1946
Rating
1583
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Carlos Alcaraz60 serves
Where they place their serve
Nicolas Jarry58 serves
Where they place their serve
22%Wide
5%Body
27%T
22%T
2%Body
23%Wide
17%Wide
7%Body
26%T
17%T
9%Body
24%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · T27%
Top targetDeuce · T26%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Carlos Alcaraz defeated Nicolas Jarry 7–5, 6–1 in the first round of the Paris Masters on hard court, comfortably justifying his status as the heavy pre-match favourite with odds of 1.08. The Spaniard controlled proceedings throughout, breaking serve multiple times to secure the opening set before dominating the second with a commanding display. Jarry, despite his 10.72 outsider odds, offered limited resistance as Alcaraz's superior court positioning and aggressive baseline game proved decisive. The comprehensive victory maintained Alcaraz's momentum in the lead-up to the season's final Masters event and positioned him favourably for the latter stages of the tournament.