Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Carlos AlcarazOpen full analysisNovak DjokovićOpen full analysis

Australian OpenhardFSunday, February 1, 2026
No-vig market probability
Alcaraz 72%28% Djoković
1.31Recorded odds3.44
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Carlos AlcarazVSNovak Djoković
2Set 16
6Set 22
6Set 33
7Set 45

Carlos Alcaraz won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Carlos AlcarazNovak Djoković
80%
Career Win %
77%
78%
Win % on Hard
79%
86%
Holds Serve
86%
29%
Breaks Serve
28%
65%
1st Serve In
65%
72%
1st Serve Won
73%
41%
Return Pts Won
40%
4.4
Aces / match
5.9
59%
Tiebreak %
61%
67%
Deciding-set %
71%
1946
Rating
1802
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Carlos Alcaraz101 serves
Where they place their serve
Novak Djoković123 serves
Where they place their serve
18%Wide
18%Body
18%T
15%T
19%Body
13%Wide
25%Wide
11%Body
18%T
20%T
10%Body
17%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetAd · Body19%
Top targetDeuce · Wide25%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Carlos Alcaraz defeated Novak Djoković in the Australian Open final on hard court, securing a 2–6, 6–2, 6–3, 7–5 victory as the pre-match favourite. The Spaniard recovered from a first-set loss to dominate the middle stages, taking control of the second and third sets with consistent play before closing out a tightly contested fourth set. Djoković, unseeded or lower-ranked in the betting odds, could not maintain the intensity that earned him the opening set. The result marks a significant Grand Slam title for Alcaraz and underlines his continued ascendancy at the sport's highest level.