Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Carlos AlcarazOpen full analysisNovak DjokovićOpen full analysis

US OpenhardSFFriday, September 5, 2025
No-vig market probability
Alcaraz 76%24% Djoković
1.29Recorded odds4.03
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Carlos AlcarazVSNovak Djoković
6Set 14
7Set 26
6Set 32

Carlos Alcaraz won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Carlos AlcarazNovak Djoković
80%
Career Win %
77%
78%
Win % on Hard
79%
86%
Holds Serve
86%
29%
Breaks Serve
28%
65%
1st Serve In
65%
72%
1st Serve Won
73%
41%
Return Pts Won
40%
4.4
Aces / match
5.9
59%
Tiebreak %
61%
67%
Deciding-set %
71%
1946
Rating
1802
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Carlos Alcaraz89 serves
Where they place their serve
Novak Djoković93 serves
Where they place their serve
16%Wide
2%Body
36%T
19%T
2%Body
25%Wide
24%Wide
1%Body
27%T
19%T
5%Body
24%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · T36%
Top targetDeuce · T27%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Carlos Alcaraz defeated Novak Djoković 6–4, 7–6, 6–2 in the US Open semi-final on hard court on 5 September 2025, confirming his status as the pre-match favourite with odds of 1.29. The Spaniard's dominant performance saw him progress through two competitive opening sets before breaking away decisively in the third, advancing to the final and extending his recent mastery over the Serbian champion. Alcaraz's victory continues his ascendancy at the year's final Grand Slam.