Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Carlos AlcarazOpen full analysisRoberto Bautista AgutOpen full analysis

Queens ClubgrassSFSaturday, June 21, 2025
No-vig market probability
Alcaraz 88%12% Agut
1.12Recorded odds7.95
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Carlos AlcarazVSRoberto Bautista Agut
6Set 14
6Set 24

Carlos Alcaraz won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Carlos AlcarazRoberto Bautista Agut
80%
Career Win %
40%
86%
Win % on Grass
27%
86%
Holds Serve
82%
29%
Breaks Serve
17%
65%
1st Serve In
68%
72%
1st Serve Won
70%
41%
Return Pts Won
35%
4.4
Aces / match
3.0
59%
Tiebreak %
44%
67%
Deciding-set %
36%
1946
Rating
1515
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Carlos Alcaraz58 serves
Where they place their serve
Roberto Bautista Agut72 serves
Where they place their serve
24%Wide
7%Body
24%T
19%T
5%Body
21%Wide
17%Wide
10%Body
25%T
15%T
8%Body
25%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · Wide24%
Top targetDeuce · T25%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Carlos Alcaraz defeated Roberto Bautista Agut 6–4, 6–4 in the semi-final of the ATP 250 Queens Club on grass on 21 June 2025. As the heavy pre-match favourite at 1.12 odds, Alcaraz delivered an expected result against Bautista Agut, who entered at 7.95. The Spaniard's dominance on the grass surface was evident in a controlled performance that saw him claim both sets with identical scorelines, showcasing the form that has made him a consistent threat on faster courts. The victory advances Alcaraz to the final and maintains his strong grass-court credentials ahead of the season's major events.