Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Carlos AlcarazOpen full analysisSebastian KordaOpen full analysis

Miami MastershardR32Sunday, March 22, 2026
No-vig market probability
Alcaraz 85%15% Korda
1.12Recorded odds6.12
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Carlos AlcarazVSSebastian Korda
3Set 16
7Set 25
4Set 36

Sebastian Korda won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Carlos AlcarazSebastian Korda
80%
Career Win %
37%
78%
Win % on Hard
39%
86%
Holds Serve
81%
29%
Breaks Serve
15%
65%
1st Serve In
62%
72%
1st Serve Won
72%
41%
Return Pts Won
34%
4.4
Aces / match
8.0
59%
Tiebreak %
39%
67%
Deciding-set %
44%
1946
Rating
1512
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Carlos Alcaraz94 serves
Where they place their serve
Sebastian Korda104 serves
Where they place their serve
16%Wide
3%Body
34%T
16%T
7%Body
23%Wide
21%Wide
5%Body
24%T
22%T
5%Body
23%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · T34%
Top targetDeuce · T24%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Sebastian Korda defeated Carlos Alcaraz 6–3, 5–7, 6–4 in the second round of the Miami Masters on hard court, producing a significant upset against the pre-match favourite. Alcaraz entered as the clear favourite at 1.12 odds, whilst Korda traded at 6.12, making the American's victory a notable result at the ATP Masters 1000 event. Korda took the opening set convincingly before Alcaraz levelled in a competitive second set, but the American reasserted control in the decider to secure the win. The result marks a statement performance from Korda against one of the tour's elite players and suggests improved form heading into the latter stages of the tournament.