Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Carlos AlcarazOpen full analysisTaylor FritzOpen full analysis

TokyohardFTuesday, September 30, 2025
No-vig market probability
Alcaraz 79%21% Fritz
1.23Recorded odds4.59
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Carlos AlcarazVSTaylor Fritz
6Set 14
6Set 24

Carlos Alcaraz won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Carlos AlcarazTaylor Fritz
80%
Career Win %
56%
78%
Win % on Hard
54%
86%
Holds Serve
88%
29%
Breaks Serve
17%
65%
1st Serve In
61%
72%
1st Serve Won
78%
41%
Return Pts Won
35%
4.4
Aces / match
10.0
59%
Tiebreak %
47%
67%
Deciding-set %
36%
1946
Rating
1680
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Carlos Alcaraz63 serves
Where they place their serve
Taylor Fritz66 serves
Where they place their serve
11%Wide
8%Body
33%T
27%T
2%Body
19%Wide
20%Wide
6%Body
26%T
14%T
2%Body
33%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · T33%
Top targetAd · Wide33%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Carlos Alcaraz defeated Taylor Fritz 6-4, 6-4 in the final of the ATP 250 Tokyo tournament on hard court, confirming his status as the pre-match favourite with odds of 1.23 to Fritz's 4.59. The Spaniard's composed performance secured a decisive two-set victory, demonstrating the control expected of the tournament's top seed. Alcaraz's win in Japan adds another title to his 2025 campaign and underscores his continued dominance on hard courts at the elite level.