Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Carlos AlcarazOpen full analysisYoshihito NishiokaOpen full analysis

Australian OpenhardR64Wednesday, January 15, 2025
No-vig market probability
Alcaraz 97%3% Nishioka
1.02Recorded odds29.55
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Carlos AlcarazVSYoshihito Nishioka
6Set 10
6Set 21
6Set 34

Carlos Alcaraz won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Carlos AlcarazYoshihito Nishioka
80%
Career Win %
32%
78%
Win % on Hard
34%
86%
Holds Serve
70%
29%
Breaks Serve
16%
65%
1st Serve In
64%
72%
1st Serve Won
62%
41%
Return Pts Won
34%
4.4
Aces / match
2.0
59%
Tiebreak %
42%
67%
Deciding-set %
64%
1946
Rating
1412
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Carlos Alcaraz60 serves
Where they place their serve
Yoshihito Nishioka61 serves
Where they place their serve
23%Wide
2%Body
28%T
20%T
2%Body
25%Wide
11%Wide
10%Body
31%T
18%T
8%Body
21%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · T28%
Top targetDeuce · T31%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Carlos Alcaraz defeated Yoshihito Nishioka 6–0, 6–1, 6–4 in the first round of the Australian Open on hard court, a dominant performance that confirmed pre-match expectations with the Spaniard trading at 1.02 odds. Alcaraz's superiority was evident from the outset, claiming the opening set without conceding a game before breaking serve repeatedly in the second to establish commanding control. Nishioka, despite a marginally improved third set, offered little resistance to the world number three's baseline authority and court positioning. The comprehensive nature of the victory—dropping just five games across three sets—underscores Alcaraz's readiness heading into the tournament's deeper stages. This straightforward progression positions him favourably for the second round.