Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
Return to calendar
FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Carlos AlcarazOpen full analysisZizou BergsOpen full analysis

TokyohardR16Saturday, September 27, 2025
No-vig market probability
Alcaraz 91%9% Bergs
1.04Recorded odds10.71
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Carlos AlcarazVSZizou Bergs
6Set 14
6Set 23

Carlos Alcaraz won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Carlos AlcarazZizou Bergs
80%
Career Win %
30%
78%
Win % on Hard
32%
86%
Holds Serve
81%
29%
Breaks Serve
17%
65%
1st Serve In
61%
72%
1st Serve Won
72%
41%
Return Pts Won
35%
4.4
Aces / match
7.9
59%
Tiebreak %
36%
67%
Deciding-set %
20%
1946
Rating
1458
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Carlos Alcaraz60 serves
Where they place their serve
Zizou Bergs52 serves
Where they place their serve
18%Wide
7%Body
28%T
23%T
2%Body
22%Wide
25%Wide
6%Body
21%T
17%T
2%Body
29%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · T28%
Top targetAd · Wide29%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Carlos Alcaraz defeated Zizou Bergs 6–4, 6–3 in the second round of the ATP 250 Tokyo tournament on hard court, delivering a commanding performance that aligned with pre-match expectations. Alcaraz, the heavy favourite at 1.04 odds, controlled proceedings throughout to advance comfortably, whilst Bergs, who carried odds of 10.71, struggled to mount sustained resistance. The Spaniard's dominant display underscored his superiority in the matchup and his continued progression through the draw. Alcaraz's efficient dispatch of Bergs maintains momentum as he targets deeper success in Tokyo.