Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Casper RuudOpen full analysisDenis ShapovalovOpen full analysis

StockholmhardSFSaturday, October 18, 2025
No-vig market probability
Ruud 62%38% Shapovalov
1.58Recorded odds2.55
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Casper RuudVSDenis Shapovalov
6Set 13
6Set 24

Casper Ruud won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Casper RuudDenis Shapovalov
61%
Career Win %
43%
54%
Win % on Hard
47%
85%
Holds Serve
82%
20%
Breaks Serve
17%
65%
1st Serve In
60%
73%
1st Serve Won
74%
37%
Return Pts Won
35%
5.3
Aces / match
8.0
54%
Tiebreak %
49%
56%
Deciding-set %
24%
1698
Rating
1604
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Casper Ruud63 serves
Where they place their serve
Denis Shapovalov54 serves
Where they place their serve
37%Wide
3%Body
11%T
38%T
5%Body
6%Wide
11%Wide
11%Body
31%T
17%T
7%Body
22%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetAd · T38%
Top targetDeuce · T31%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Casper Ruud defeated Denis Shapovalov 6–3, 6–4 in the Stockholm ATP 250 semi-final on hard court, confirming his status as pre-match favourite with odds of 1.58 to Shapovalov's 2.55. The Norwegian controlled the match throughout, breaking serve decisively in both sets to advance to the final with a commanding display. Ruud's clinical performance against the Canadian underdog underscored his comfort on the Stockholm hard courts and his readiness for the title decider.