Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Casper RuudOpen full analysisHolger RuneOpen full analysis

BarcelonaclayQFFriday, April 18, 2025
No-vig market probability
Ruud 61%39% Rune
1.60Recorded odds2.50
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Casper RuudVSHolger Rune
4Set 16
2Set 26

Holger Rune won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Casper RuudHolger Rune
62%
Career Win %
54%
71%
Win % on Clay
59%
85%
Holds Serve
80%
20%
Breaks Serve
17%
65%
1st Serve In
61%
73%
1st Serve Won
70%
37%
Return Pts Won
35%
5.3
Aces / match
5.1
55%
Tiebreak %
56%
56%
Deciding-set %
52%
1713
Rating
1600
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Casper Ruud58 serves
Where they place their serve
Holger Rune55 serves
Where they place their serve
12%Wide
10%Body
29%T
14%T
9%Body
26%Wide
25%Wide
11%Body
15%T
15%T
5%Body
29%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · T29%
Top targetAd · Wide29%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Holger Rune defeated Casper Ruud 6-4, 6-2 in the Barcelona ATP 250 quarter-final on clay on 18 April 2025, an upset victory against the pre-match favourite. Ruud entered as the betting preference at 1.6 odds, but Rune's superior performance across both sets proved decisive, with the Danish player breaking serve consistently and controlling the rallies from the baseline. The dominant scoreline—particularly Rune's clean second-set performance—underscored his growing mastery on the surface and mental resilience in high-pressure knockout tennis. This result strengthens Rune's claim as a genuine clay-court threat and marks a significant head-to-head win over a top-10 player.