Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Casper RuudOpen full analysisJannik SinnerOpen full analysis

Rome MastersclayFSunday, May 17, 2026
No-vig market probability
Ruud 16%84% Sinner
6.05Recorded odds1.13
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Casper RuudVSJannik Sinner
4Set 16
4Set 26

Jannik Sinner won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Casper RuudJannik Sinner
61%
Career Win %
78%
71%
Win % on Clay
77%
85%
Holds Serve
88%
20%
Breaks Serve
28%
65%
1st Serve In
61%
73%
1st Serve Won
76%
37%
Return Pts Won
41%
5.3
Aces / match
6.5
54%
Tiebreak %
69%
56%
Deciding-set %
56%
1698
Rating
2147
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Casper Ruud64 serves
Where they place their serve
Jannik Sinner55 serves
Where they place their serve
19%Wide
8%Body
25%T
9%T
5%Body
34%Wide
22%Wide
11%Body
22%T
9%T
2%Body
35%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetAd · Wide34%
Top targetAd · Wide35%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Jannik Sinner defeated Casper Ruud 6–4, 6–4 in the Rome Masters final on clay, confirming his status as the heavy pre-match favourite with odds of 1.13 to Ruud's 6.05. The Italian's composed performance on the Eternal City's red courts saw him secure a dominant two-set victory without requiring a deciding set, reflecting the significant gap in expectations heading into the match. Sinner's straight-sets triumph adds another Masters 1000 title to his burgeoning résumé and underscores his current standing as one of the tour's most consistent performers on clay surfaces. The result reinforces Sinner's ascendancy in the sport's hierarchy, whilst Ruud's runner-up finish, though respectable, extends his wait for a maiden Masters 1000 title.