Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Casper RuudOpen full analysisMarcos GironOpen full analysis

Indian Wells MastershardR64Friday, March 7, 2025
No-vig market probability
Ruud 60%40% Giron
1.61Recorded odds2.45
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Casper RuudVSMarcos Giron
6Set 17
6Set 23
2Set 36

Marcos Giron won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Casper RuudMarcos Giron
61%
Career Win %
18%
54%
Win % on Hard
16%
85%
Holds Serve
75%
20%
Breaks Serve
14%
65%
1st Serve In
60%
73%
1st Serve Won
70%
37%
Return Pts Won
33%
5.3
Aces / match
4.7
54%
Tiebreak %
44%
56%
Deciding-set %
21%
1698
Rating
1408
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Casper Ruud101 serves
Where they place their serve
Marcos Giron115 serves
Where they place their serve
16%Wide
30%Body
7%T
10%T
6%Body
32%Wide
27%Wide
15%Body
10%T
8%T
9%Body
31%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetAd · Wide32%
Top targetAd · Wide31%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Marcos Giron upset third-seeded Casper Ruud 7–6, 3–6, 6–2 in the first round of the Indian Wells Masters on hard court, delivering a significant upset against the 1.61 favourite. Ruud, seeded to progress comfortably, lost control after a competitive opening set decided by tiebreak. Giron seized momentum in the decider, breaking Ruud's resistance to claim a commanding final set and advance to the second round. The American's aggressive baseline game proved effective against Ruud's typically composed clay-court style on the faster hard surface. The result marks a notable upset at Indian Wells and raises questions about Ruud's form heading into the spring hard-court swing.