Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Casper RuudOpen full analysisRaphael CollignonOpen full analysis

US OpenhardR64Wednesday, August 27, 2025
No-vig market probability
Ruud 84%16% Collignon
1.16Recorded odds6.11
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Casper RuudVSRaphael Collignon
4Set 16
6Set 23
6Set 33
4Set 46
5Set 57

Raphael Collignon won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Casper RuudRaphael Collignon
61%
Career Win %
33%
54%
Win % on Hard
38%
85%
Holds Serve
75%
20%
Breaks Serve
22%
65%
1st Serve In
63%
73%
1st Serve Won
71%
37%
Return Pts Won
38%
5.3
Aces / match
7.9
54%
Tiebreak %
14%
56%
Deciding-set %
60%
1698
Rating
1466
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Casper Ruud140 serves
Where they place their serve
Raphael Collignon161 serves
Where they place their serve
16%Wide
14%Body
24%T
19%T
11%Body
17%Wide
32%Wide
9%Body
12%T
11%T
17%Body
18%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · T24%
Top targetDeuce · Wide32%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Raphael Collignon upset Casper Ruud 6–4, 3–6, 3–6, 6–4, 7–5 in the first round of the US Open on hard court on 27 August 2025. The result constituted a major upset, with Ruud entering as a heavy favourite at odds of 1.16, whilst Collignon was priced at 6.11. The match proved competitive throughout, with momentum swinging between the players across five sets. Ruud claimed the opening set and led in the third, but Collignon recovered to win the second and third sets, before Ruud levelled at one set apiece. The decisive fifth set proved decisive, with Collignon prevailing 7–5 to secure an impressive first-round victory. The upset win marks a significant scalp for Collignon at a Grand Slam event.