Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Caty McnallyOpen full analysisMarta KostyukOpen full analysis

MadridclayR16Monday, April 27, 2026
No-vig market probability
Mcnally 19%81% Kostyuk
4.99Recorded odds1.16
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Caty McnallyVSMarta Kostyuk
2Set 16
3Set 26

Marta Kostyuk won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Caty McnallyMarta Kostyuk
22%
Career Win %
62%
0%
Win % on Clay
64%
53%
Holds Serve
70%
23%
Breaks Serve
37%
63%
1st Serve In
59%
58%
1st Serve Won
68%
38%
Return Pts Won
45%
2.0
Aces / match
3.3
33%
Deciding-set %
52%
1448
Rating
1717
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Caty Mcnally66 serves
Where they place their serve
Marta Kostyuk65 serves
Where they place their serve
21%Wide
5%Body
26%T
15%T
8%Body
26%Wide
29%Wide
6%Body
15%T
15%T
8%Body
26%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · T26%
Top targetDeuce · Wide29%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Marta Kostyuk defeated Caty McNally 6–2, 6–3 in the Madrid Masters 1000 round of 16 on clay on 27 April 2026, confirming her status as the heavy pre-match favourite at odds of 1.16 to McNally's 4.99. The Ukrainian's dominant performance saw her advance comfortably against the American, who could not mount sustained resistance on the Madrid surface. Kostyuk's progression to the quarterfinals underscores her growing consistency at elite level and positions her well for a deep run in the tournament.