Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Caty McnallyOpen full analysisVictoria MbokoOpen full analysis

Australian OpenhardR64Wednesday, January 21, 2026
No-vig market probability
Mcnally 29%71% Mboko
3.31Recorded odds1.32
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Caty McnallyVSVictoria Mboko
4Set 16
3Set 26

Victoria Mboko won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Caty McnallyVictoria Mboko
22%
Career Win %
62%
29%
Win % on Hard
61%
53%
Holds Serve
69%
23%
Breaks Serve
35%
63%
1st Serve In
65%
58%
1st Serve Won
67%
38%
Return Pts Won
44%
2.0
Aces / match
4.1
33%
Deciding-set %
100%
1448
Rating
1630
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Caty Mcnally66 serves
Where they place their serve
Victoria Mboko59 serves
Where they place their serve
17%Wide
17%Body
18%T
17%T
15%Body
17%Wide
24%Wide
19%Body
10%T
10%T
12%Body
25%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · T18%
Top targetAd · Wide25%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Victoria Mboko defeated Caty McNally 6–4, 6–3 in the first round of the Australian Open on hard court, confirming her status as pre-match favourite with odds of 1.32 to McNally's 3.31. Mboko's composed performance secured a straightforward progression through the opening stage of the Grand Slam, with McNally unable to mount a sustained challenge across either set. The result maintains Mboko's momentum in the early rounds of the tournament and sets up a second-round encounter with a higher-seeded opponent.