Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Coco GauffOpen full analysisNaomi OsakaOpen full analysis

US OpenhardR16Monday, September 1, 2025
No-vig market probability
Gauff 55%45% Osaka
1.77Recorded odds2.18
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Coco GauffVSNaomi Osaka
3Set 16
2Set 26

Naomi Osaka won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Coco GauffNaomi Osaka
71%
Career Win %
59%
73%
Win % on Hard
64%
74%
Holds Serve
75%
39%
Breaks Serve
30%
62%
1st Serve In
58%
69%
1st Serve Won
72%
46%
Return Pts Won
42%
3.6
Aces / match
6.2
67%
Tiebreak %
42%
71%
Deciding-set %
56%
1872
Rating
1672
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Coco Gauff50 serves
Where they place their serve
Naomi Osaka38 serves
Where they place their serve
18%Wide
22%Body
16%T
6%T
26%Body
12%Wide
18%Wide
32%Body
5%T
16%T
29%Body
0%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetAd · Body26%
Top targetDeuce · Body32%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Naomi Osaka defeated Coco Gauff 6–3, 6–2 in the US Open round of 16 on hard court, pulling off a notable upset against the pre-match favourite. Gauff, seeded higher in the betting odds at 1.77 to Osaka's 2.18, was unable to maintain her form against her opponent's composed execution. Osaka's dominant performance across both sets demonstrated clinical efficiency, with the American unable to mount a sustained challenge in either frame. The result marks a significant statement from Osaka in New York, where she now advances to the quarterfinals with momentum on her side. This victory will likely prompt reassessment of both players' trajectories in the latter stages of the tournament.