Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Daniil MedvedevOpen full analysisFrances TiafoeOpen full analysis

BrisbanehardR16Wednesday, January 7, 2026
No-vig market probability
Medvedev 72%28% Tiafoe
1.35Recorded odds3.44
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Daniil MedvedevVSFrances Tiafoe
6Set 13
6Set 22

Daniil Medvedev won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Daniil MedvedevFrances Tiafoe
69%
Career Win %
48%
70%
Win % on Hard
50%
85%
Holds Serve
81%
25%
Breaks Serve
16%
63%
1st Serve In
58%
75%
1st Serve Won
72%
39%
Return Pts Won
34%
8.4
Aces / match
6.9
52%
Tiebreak %
61%
56%
Deciding-set %
50%
1722
Rating
1623
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Daniil Medvedev48 serves
Where they place their serve
Frances Tiafoe42 serves
Where they place their serve
31%Wide
0%Body
21%T
23%T
2%Body
23%Wide
19%Wide
5%Body
29%T
33%T
10%Body
5%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · Wide31%
Top targetAd · T33%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Daniil Medvedev defeated Frances Tiafoe 6–3, 6–2 in the second round of the ATP 250 Brisbane tournament on hard court on 7 January 2026. As the clear pre-match favourite at odds of 1.35 to Tiafoe's 3.44, Medvedev delivered an expected performance, controlling the match with clinical efficiency across both sets. The Russian's dominance in the early rounds suggests he remains a formidable competitor on the Australian summer hard courts ahead of the season's opening Grand Slam.