Indian Wells MastershardQFThursday, March 12, 2026
No-vig market probability
Medvedev 62%38% Draper
1.53Recorded odds2.45
FINAL RESULT
Match score
Daniil MedvedevVSJack Draper
6Set 11
7Set 25
Daniil Medvedev won the match
CAREER COMPARISON
Player records
Daniil MedvedevJack Draper
69%
Career Win %
52%
70%
Win % on Hard
61%
85%
Holds Serve
82%
25%
Breaks Serve
21%
63%
1st Serve In
60%
75%
1st Serve Won
73%
39%
Return Pts Won
37%
8.4
Aces / match
7.4
52%
Tiebreak %
62%
56%
Deciding-set %
25%
1722
Rating
1605
SERVICE PLACEMENT
Serve targets from this match
Daniil Medvedev54 serves
Where they place their serve
Jack Draper54 serves
Where they place their serve
43%Wide
0%Body
11%T
31%T
2%Body
13%Wide
20%Wide
2%Body
31%T
17%T
2%Body
28%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · Wide43%
Top targetDeuce · T31%
MATCH STORY
PhantomStat recap
Daniil Medvedev defeated Jack Draper 6–1, 7–5 in the Indian Wells Masters quarter-final on hard court, as expected given pre-match odds that favoured the Russian at 1.53 to Draper's 2.45. Medvedev controlled the opening set with clinical efficiency, breaking Draper's serve repeatedly to secure a dominant first frame. The second set proved more competitive, with Draper mounting resistance and pushing the match to a tiebreaker situation before Medvedev closed out the encounter in straight sets. The victory underscores Medvedev's continued mastery of hard-court conditions and his ability to navigate the demanding Masters 1000 schedule. Medvedev advances to the semi-finals where he will face a fresh opponent.