Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Daniil MedvedevOpen full analysisJames DuckworthOpen full analysis

AlmatyhardSFSaturday, October 18, 2025
No-vig market probability
Medvedev 82%18% Duckworth
1.19Recorded odds5.35
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Daniil MedvedevVSJames Duckworth
6Set 17
6Set 23
6Set 32

Daniil Medvedev won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Daniil MedvedevJames Duckworth
69%
Career Win %
37%
70%
Win % on Hard
39%
85%
Holds Serve
80%
25%
Breaks Serve
13%
63%
1st Serve In
56%
75%
1st Serve Won
74%
39%
Return Pts Won
32%
8.4
Aces / match
6.6
52%
Tiebreak %
50%
56%
Deciding-set %
25%
1722
Rating
1496
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Daniil Medvedev94 serves
Where they place their serve
James Duckworth100 serves
Where they place their serve
18%Wide
17%Body
17%T
18%T
18%Body
12%Wide
15%Wide
10%Body
27%T
14%T
8%Body
26%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · Wide18%
Top targetDeuce · T27%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Daniil Medvedev defeated James Duckworth 6–7 6–3 6–2 in the semi-final of the ATP 250 event in Almaty on hard court, confirming his status as the pre-match favourite with odds of 1.19 to Duckworth's 5.35. After a competitive opening set that went to a tie-break, Medvedev asserted control in the second and third sets to advance to the final. The Russian's recovery from the opening-set loss demonstrated composure and tactical adjustment against an opponent who offered early resistance. Medvedev's progression to the final keeps his title hopes intact at the Kazakhstan event.