Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Daniil MedvedevOpen full analysisJannik SinnerOpen full analysis

Indian Wells MastershardFSunday, March 15, 2026
No-vig market probability
Medvedev 24%76% Sinner
3.90Recorded odds1.25
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Daniil MedvedevVSJannik Sinner
6Set 17
6Set 27

Jannik Sinner won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Daniil MedvedevJannik Sinner
69%
Career Win %
78%
70%
Win % on Hard
79%
85%
Holds Serve
88%
25%
Breaks Serve
28%
63%
1st Serve In
61%
75%
1st Serve Won
76%
39%
Return Pts Won
41%
8.4
Aces / match
6.5
52%
Tiebreak %
69%
56%
Deciding-set %
56%
1722
Rating
2147
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Daniil Medvedev87 serves
Where they place their serve
Jannik Sinner72 serves
Where they place their serve
31%Wide
8%Body
14%T
31%T
3%Body
13%Wide
24%Wide
3%Body
26%T
25%T
6%Body
17%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · Wide31%
Top targetDeuce · T26%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Jannik Sinner defeated Daniil Medvedev 7–6 7–6 in the Indian Wells Masters final on hard court, confirming his status as the pre-match favourite with odds of 1.25 to Medvedev's 3.9. The Italian secured back-to-back tiebreak victories in a tightly contested affair, denying the Russian a second Masters title this season. Sinner's composed performance under pressure underscores his growing mastery of hard-court tennis and reinforces his position among the sport's elite. The result extends Sinner's winning momentum and represents a significant statement ahead of the Miami Open, while Medvedev's runner-up finish leaves him searching for consistency in Masters competition.