Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Daniil MedvedevOpen full analysisJohn MillmanOpen full analysis

Australian OpenhardR64Wednesday, January 18, 2023
No-vig market probability
Medvedev 96%4% Millman
1.02Recorded odds27.60
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Daniil MedvedevVSJohn Millman
7Set 15
6Set 22
6Set 32

Daniil Medvedev won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Daniil MedvedevJohn Millman
69%
Career Win %
50%
70%
Win % on Hard
50%
85%
Holds Serve
81%
25%
Breaks Serve
20%
63%
1st Serve In
63%
75%
1st Serve Won
69%
39%
Return Pts Won
36%
8.4
Aces / match
4.1
52%
Tiebreak %
30%
56%
Deciding-set %
40%
1722
Rating
1549
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Daniil Medvedev98 serves
Where they place their serve
John Millman81 serves
Where they place their serve
36%Wide
2%Body
14%T
16%T
2%Body
30%Wide
27%Wide
16%Body
10%T
15%T
20%Body
12%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · Wide36%
Top targetDeuce · Wide27%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Daniil Medvedev defeated John Millman 7–5, 6–2, 6–2 in the first round of the Australian Open on hard court on 18 January 2023, as expected given the Russian's commanding odds of 1.02 to Millman's 27.6. Medvedev controlled the match throughout, breaking serve multiple times to secure the opening set before dominating the final two frames with increasingly efficient tennis. The scoreline reflects the gulf in class between the world's elite and a lower-ranked challenger, with Medvedev advancing without significant resistance. The result maintains Medvedev's momentum at the year's first Grand Slam.