Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Daniil MedvedevOpen full analysisKamil MajchrzakOpen full analysis

BrisbanehardQFFriday, January 9, 2026
No-vig market probability
Medvedev 84%16% Majchrzak
1.17Recorded odds5.95
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Daniil MedvedevVSKamil Majchrzak
6Set 17
6Set 23
6Set 32

Daniil Medvedev won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Daniil MedvedevKamil Majchrzak
69%
Career Win %
40%
70%
Win % on Hard
20%
85%
Holds Serve
82%
25%
Breaks Serve
22%
63%
1st Serve In
60%
75%
1st Serve Won
71%
39%
Return Pts Won
38%
8.4
Aces / match
6.9
52%
Tiebreak %
43%
56%
Deciding-set %
50%
1722
Rating
1505
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Daniil Medvedev93 serves
Where they place their serve
Kamil Majchrzak90 serves
Where they place their serve
31%Wide
0%Body
22%T
20%T
0%Body
27%Wide
24%Wide
3%Body
24%T
21%T
4%Body
22%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · Wide31%
Top targetDeuce · Wide24%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Daniil Medvedev defeated Kamil Majchrzak 6-7 6-3 6-2 in the Brisbane ATP 250 quarter-final on hard court on 9 January 2026, confirming pre-match expectations as the heavy favourite at 1.17 odds. After dropping a tight opening set to a tiebreak, Medvedev reasserted control in the second and third sets, dismantling Majchrzak's resistance with increasingly dominant tennis. The Russian's recovery from the first-set loss demonstrated composure and tactical adjustment, allowing him to progress through the draw without significant threat. Medvedev's progression to the semi-finals maintains his strong early-season form and reinforces his standing as a leading contender at the tournament.