Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Daniil MedvedevOpen full analysisReilly OpelkaOpen full analysis

WashingtonhardR32Wednesday, July 23, 2025
No-vig market probability
Medvedev 74%26% Opelka
1.31Recorded odds3.81
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Daniil MedvedevVSReilly Opelka
3Set 16
7Set 25
6Set 31

Daniil Medvedev won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Daniil MedvedevReilly Opelka
69%
Career Win %
50%
70%
Win % on Hard
50%
85%
Holds Serve
90%
25%
Breaks Serve
8%
63%
1st Serve In
66%
75%
1st Serve Won
77%
39%
Return Pts Won
28%
8.4
Aces / match
16.4
52%
Tiebreak %
54%
56%
Deciding-set %
46%
1722
Rating
1554
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Daniil Medvedev76 serves
Where they place their serve
Reilly Opelka99 serves
Where they place their serve
30%Wide
5%Body
18%T
24%T
4%Body
18%Wide
25%Wide
2%Body
24%T
16%T
1%Body
31%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · Wide30%
Top targetAd · Wide31%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Daniil Medvedev defeated Reilly Opelka 3–6, 7–5, 6–1 in the second round of the ATP 250 Washington tournament on hard court on 23 July 2025, confirming his status as the pre-match favourite with odds of 1.31 to Opelka's 3.81. After losing the opening set, Medvedev seized control in the second, breaking serve to claim a tight contest before dominating the third to secure a commanding victory. The Russian's recovery from the first-set deficit demonstrated composure against a formidable opponent known for his serving prowess. Medvedev's progression to the next round strengthens his campaign in the American summer hard-court season.