Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
Return to calendar
FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Daniil MedvedevOpen full analysisStan WawrinkaOpen full analysis

DubaihardR16Wednesday, February 25, 2026
No-vig market probability
Medvedev 83%17% Wawrinka
1.14Recorded odds5.43
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Daniil MedvedevVSStan Wawrinka
6Set 12
6Set 23

Daniil Medvedev won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Daniil MedvedevStan Wawrinka
69%
Career Win %
47%
70%
Win % on Hard
48%
85%
Holds Serve
82%
25%
Breaks Serve
17%
63%
1st Serve In
58%
75%
1st Serve Won
73%
39%
Return Pts Won
35%
8.4
Aces / match
7.6
52%
Tiebreak %
56%
56%
Deciding-set %
41%
1722
Rating
1539
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Daniil Medvedev43 serves
Where they place their serve
Stan Wawrinka67 serves
Where they place their serve
28%Wide
5%Body
23%T
26%T
0%Body
19%Wide
30%Wide
0%Body
21%T
16%T
1%Body
31%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · Wide28%
Top targetAd · Wide31%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Daniil Medvedev defeated Stan Wawrinka 6–2, 6–3 in the round of 16 at the Dubai ATP Masters 1000 on hard court, confirming his status as the heavy pre-match favourite with odds of 1.14 to Wawrinka's 5.43. The Russian's dominant display saw him control both sets with clinical efficiency, allowing his Swiss opponent little opportunity to establish rhythm or mount a meaningful challenge. Medvedev's straightforward victory underscored the gulf in current form between the two players and advances him deeper into the tournament.