Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Daniil MedvedevOpen full analysisStan WawrinkaOpen full analysis

RotterdamhardR32Monday, February 3, 2025
No-vig market probability
Medvedev 84%16% Wawrinka
1.17Recorded odds5.94
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Daniil MedvedevVSStan Wawrinka
6Set 17
6Set 24
6Set 31

Daniil Medvedev won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Daniil MedvedevStan Wawrinka
69%
Career Win %
47%
70%
Win % on Hard
48%
85%
Holds Serve
82%
25%
Breaks Serve
17%
63%
1st Serve In
58%
75%
1st Serve Won
73%
39%
Return Pts Won
35%
8.4
Aces / match
7.6
52%
Tiebreak %
56%
56%
Deciding-set %
41%
1722
Rating
1539
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Daniil Medvedev88 serves
Where they place their serve
Stan Wawrinka106 serves
Where they place their serve
28%Wide
3%Body
20%T
24%T
2%Body
22%Wide
24%Wide
0%Body
27%T
17%T
1%Body
31%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · Wide28%
Top targetAd · Wide31%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Daniil Medvedev defeated Stan Wawrinka 6–7, 6–4, 6–1 in the first round of the ATP 250 Rotterdam event on hard court, confirming his status as the heavy pre-match favourite with odds of 1.17 to Wawrinka's 5.94. The Russian recovered from a tight opening set decided by tiebreak to dominate the second and third frames, establishing control after the early adversity. Medvedev's progression through the draw maintains his momentum on the hard-court circuit, whilst Wawrinka's early exit continues a difficult run in 2025.