Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Daniil MedvedevOpen full analysisStéfanos TsitsipásOpen full analysis

DohahardR16Wednesday, February 18, 2026
No-vig market probability
Medvedev 72%28% Tsitsipás
1.32Recorded odds3.33
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Daniil MedvedevVSStéfanos Tsitsipás
3Set 16
4Set 26

Stéfanos Tsitsipás won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Daniil MedvedevStéfanos Tsitsipás
69%
Career Win %
55%
70%
Win % on Hard
54%
85%
Holds Serve
86%
25%
Breaks Serve
15%
63%
1st Serve In
63%
75%
1st Serve Won
76%
39%
Return Pts Won
34%
8.4
Aces / match
7.4
52%
Tiebreak %
53%
56%
Deciding-set %
51%
1722
Rating
1607
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Daniil Medvedev60 serves
Where they place their serve
Stéfanos Tsitsipás60 serves
Where they place their serve
20%Wide
8%Body
23%T
17%T
5%Body
27%Wide
33%Wide
5%Body
15%T
20%T
8%Body
18%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetAd · Wide27%
Top targetDeuce · Wide33%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Stéfanos Tsitsipás defeated Daniil Medvedev 6–3, 6–4 in the ATP Masters 1000 round of 16 at the Doha hard court event on 18 February 2026, an upset result against the pre-match favourite. Medvedev entered as the betting preference at 1.32 odds, while Tsitsipás was positioned as the underdog at 3.33, yet the Greek player's superior court control and consistency across both sets proved decisive. Tsitsipás's straight-sets victory, achieved without dropping a set, demonstrated his capacity to neutralise Medvedev's typically formidable baseline game. The result marks a significant head-to-head statement and advances Tsitsipás into the quarter-finals while raising questions about Medvedev's form at this stage of the season.