Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Daniil MedvedevOpen full analysisUgo HumbertOpen full analysis

RotterdamhardR32Monday, February 9, 2026
No-vig market probability
Medvedev 66%34% Humbert
1.43Recorded odds2.76
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Daniil MedvedevVSUgo Humbert
6Set 17
6Set 23
3Set 36

Ugo Humbert won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Daniil MedvedevUgo Humbert
69%
Career Win %
52%
70%
Win % on Hard
57%
85%
Holds Serve
85%
25%
Breaks Serve
16%
63%
1st Serve In
64%
75%
1st Serve Won
74%
39%
Return Pts Won
35%
8.4
Aces / match
6.3
52%
Tiebreak %
48%
56%
Deciding-set %
31%
1722
Rating
1634
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Daniil Medvedev102 serves
Where they place their serve
Ugo Humbert98 serves
Where they place their serve
22%Wide
25%Body
5%T
25%T
14%Body
9%Wide
11%Wide
5%Body
37%T
13%T
10%Body
23%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · Body25%
Top targetDeuce · T37%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Ugo Humbert upset pre-match favourite Daniil Medvedev 7-6, 3-6, 6-3 in the first round of the ATP 250 Rotterdam tournament on hard court on 9 February 2026. Humbert's victory against the odds—Medvedev entered as a clear favourite at 1.43 to Humbert's 2.76—marks a significant scalp for the Frenchman, who recovered from dropping the second set to take control in the third. The result demonstrates Humbert's capacity to compete at the highest level on indoor hard courts, where Medvedev typically excels. Humbert advances to the second round, while Medvedev's early exit raises questions about his form heading into the remainder of the season.