Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Daria KasatkinaOpen full analysisIga ŚwiątekOpen full analysis

DohahardR16Wednesday, February 11, 2026
No-vig market probability
Kasatkina 9%91% Świątek
11.12Recorded odds1.04
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Daria KasatkinaVSIga Świątek
7Set 15
1Set 26
1Set 36

Iga Świątek won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Daria KasatkinaIga Świątek
42%
Career Win %
83%
42%
Win % on Hard
81%
57%
Holds Serve
79%
38%
Breaks Serve
47%
68%
1st Serve In
64%
59%
1st Serve Won
68%
45%
Return Pts Won
49%
1.5
Aces / match
2.3
50%
Tiebreak %
65%
44%
Deciding-set %
73%
1429
Rating
1901
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Daria Kasatkina90 serves
Where they place their serve
Iga Świątek92 serves
Where they place their serve
34%Wide
3%Body
16%T
26%T
8%Body
13%Wide
24%Wide
5%Body
23%T
8%T
9%Body
32%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · Wide34%
Top targetAd · Wide32%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Iga Świątek defeated Daria Kasatkina 5–7, 6–1, 6–1 in the round of 16 at the Doha Masters 1000 on hard court, confirming her status as the overwhelming pre-match favourite with odds of 1.04 to Kasatkina's 11.12. After dropping the opening set, Świątek imposed control in the second and third sets, dismantling her opponent with consecutive 6–1 scorelines to secure a commanding victory. The Polish world number one's ability to recover from an early deficit and dominate the match's latter stages underscores her current form and superiority on the hard court. Świątek advances deeper into the tournament while Kasatkina's challenge ends at the round-of-16 stage.