Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Daria KasatkinaOpen full analysisJaqueline CristianOpen full analysis

AdelaidehardR16Wednesday, January 14, 2026
No-vig market probability
Kasatkina 55%45% Cristian
1.71Recorded odds2.09
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Daria KasatkinaVSJaqueline Cristian
4Set 16
0Set 26

Jaqueline Cristian won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Daria KasatkinaJaqueline Cristian
42%
Career Win %
28%
42%
Win % on Hard
36%
57%
Holds Serve
61%
38%
Breaks Serve
24%
68%
1st Serve In
61%
59%
1st Serve Won
61%
45%
Return Pts Won
39%
1.5
Aces / match
2.9
50%
Tiebreak %
80%
44%
Deciding-set %
29%
1429
Rating
1441
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Daria Kasatkina65 serves
Where they place their serve
Jaqueline Cristian56 serves
Where they place their serve
29%Wide
15%Body
6%T
28%T
14%Body
8%Wide
32%Wide
7%Body
11%T
18%T
9%Body
23%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · Wide29%
Top targetDeuce · Wide32%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Jaqueline Cristian defeated Daria Kasatkina 6–4, 6–0 in the Adelaide WTA 250 round of 16 on hard court, producing an upset against the pre-match favourite. Kasatkina, who entered as odds-on at 1.71, could not sustain her form as Cristian dominated the second set with a bagel, breaking serve multiple times to secure a dominant victory. The Romanian's clinical performance in the latter stages proved decisive, as Kasatkina struggled to find rhythm after the opening set. This result marks a significant scalp for Cristian on the WTA circuit and suggests momentum heading into her quarter-final appearance.