Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Daria KasatkinaOpen full analysisMirra AndreevaOpen full analysis

Roland GarrosclayR16Monday, June 2, 2025
No-vig market probability
Kasatkina 21%79% Andreeva
4.71Recorded odds1.23
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Daria KasatkinaVSMirra Andreeva
3Set 16
5Set 27

Mirra Andreeva won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Daria KasatkinaMirra Andreeva
42%
Career Win %
72%
46%
Win % on Clay
74%
57%
Holds Serve
73%
38%
Breaks Serve
41%
68%
1st Serve In
62%
59%
1st Serve Won
67%
45%
Return Pts Won
46%
1.5
Aces / match
2.9
50%
Tiebreak %
53%
44%
Deciding-set %
63%
1429
Rating
1746
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Daria Kasatkina63 serves
Where they place their serve
Mirra Andreeva73 serves
Where they place their serve
19%Wide
3%Body
30%T
17%T
11%Body
19%Wide
21%Wide
12%Body
18%T
12%T
26%Body
11%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · T30%
Top targetAd · Body26%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Mirra Andreeva defeated Daria Kasatkina 6–3, 7–5 in the Roland Garros round of sixteen on clay on 2 June 2025, confirming her status as the pre-match favourite with odds of 1.23 to Kasatkina's 4.71. The Russian teenager controlled the first set decisively, then weathered a competitive second in which Kasatkina mounted resistance before Andreeva secured the match in straight sets. The victory demonstrates Andreeva's growing consistency on the clay-court stage and her ability to manage pressure against an experienced opponent in a Grand Slam knockout round. She advances to the quarter-finals with her form intact.