Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Daria KasatkinaOpen full analysisNaomi OsakaOpen full analysis

US OpenhardR32Saturday, August 30, 2025
No-vig market probability
Kasatkina 24%76% Osaka
3.98Recorded odds1.29
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Daria KasatkinaVSNaomi Osaka
0Set 16
6Set 24
3Set 36

Naomi Osaka won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Daria KasatkinaNaomi Osaka
42%
Career Win %
59%
42%
Win % on Hard
64%
57%
Holds Serve
75%
38%
Breaks Serve
30%
68%
1st Serve In
58%
59%
1st Serve Won
72%
45%
Return Pts Won
42%
1.5
Aces / match
6.2
50%
Tiebreak %
42%
44%
Deciding-set %
56%
1429
Rating
1672
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Daria Kasatkina69 serves
Where they place their serve
Naomi Osaka74 serves
Where they place their serve
22%Wide
20%Body
10%T
20%T
22%Body
6%Wide
16%Wide
23%Body
15%T
18%T
18%Body
11%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · Wide22%
Top targetDeuce · Body23%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Naomi Osaka defeated Daria Kasatkina 6–0, 4–6, 6–3 in the second round of the US Open on hard court, confirming her status as pre-match favourite despite Kasatkina's opening-set dominance. Osaka's commanding first set suggested a straightforward victory, but Kasatkina responded competitively in the second, forcing a decider. The Japanese former champion regained control in the third set to seal progression. The result underlines Osaka's solid form at Flushing Meadows, though the mid-match wobble hints at inconsistency that could prove costly against stronger opposition in subsequent rounds.