Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Daria KasatkinaOpen full analysisSofia KeninOpen full analysis

CharlestonclayR16Thursday, April 3, 2025
No-vig market probability
Kasatkina 55%45% Kenin
1.75Recorded odds2.17
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Daria KasatkinaVSSofia Kenin
3Set 16
6Set 27

Sofia Kenin won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Daria KasatkinaSofia Kenin
42%
Career Win %
44%
46%
Win % on Clay
42%
57%
Holds Serve
69%
38%
Breaks Serve
26%
68%
1st Serve In
67%
59%
1st Serve Won
63%
45%
Return Pts Won
40%
1.5
Aces / match
1.6
50%
Tiebreak %
50%
44%
Deciding-set %
54%
1429
Rating
1545
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Daria Kasatkina66 serves
Where they place their serve
Sofia Kenin86 serves
Where they place their serve
15%Wide
11%Body
26%T
27%T
11%Body
11%Wide
16%Wide
6%Body
28%T
22%T
2%Body
26%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetAd · T27%
Top targetDeuce · T28%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Sofia Kenin defeated Daria Kasatkina 6–3, 7–6 in the Charleston WTA 250 round of 16 on clay on 3 April 2025, an upset victory against the pre-match favourite. Despite Kasatkina's status as the odds-on favourite at 1.75, Kenin claimed the opening set comfortably before forcing a tiebreak in the second, ultimately prevailing in a competitive encounter. The result represents a significant scalp for Kenin on the clay court circuit and signals improved form heading into the latter stages of the tournament.