Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Denis ShapovalovOpen full analysisRafael JodarOpen full analysis

DallashardR32Tuesday, February 10, 2026
No-vig market probability
Shapovalov 54%46% Jodar
1.74Recorded odds2.05
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Denis ShapovalovVSRafael Jodar
6Set 11
6Set 22

Denis Shapovalov won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Denis ShapovalovRafael Jodar
43%
Career Win %
61%
47%
Win % on Hard
58%
82%
Holds Serve
75%
17%
Breaks Serve
26%
60%
1st Serve In
64%
74%
1st Serve Won
69%
35%
Return Pts Won
40%
8.0
Aces / match
3.3
49%
Tiebreak %
40%
24%
Deciding-set %
60%
1604
Rating
1584
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Denis Shapovalov44 serves
Where they place their serve
Rafael Jodar59 serves
Where they place their serve
16%Wide
5%Body
32%T
11%T
0%Body
36%Wide
24%Wide
8%Body
20%T
24%T
7%Body
17%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetAd · Wide36%
Top targetDeuce · Wide24%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Denis Shapovalov defeated Rafael Jodar 6–1, 6–2 in the first round of the ATP 250 Dallas event on hard court, confirming his status as pre-match favourite with odds of 1.74 to Jodar's 2.05. The Canadian's dominant performance saw him secure both sets with relative ease, breaking serve multiple times to control the match from the outset. Shapovalov's clinical display suggests strong form heading into the tournament, while Jodar's heavy defeat indicates he struggled to compete at the required level. The result keeps Shapovalov on track in Dallas.