Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Diana ShnaiderOpen full analysisMirra AndreevaOpen full analysis

AdelaidehardSFFriday, January 16, 2026
No-vig market probability
Shnaider 34%66% Andreeva
2.74Recorded odds1.44
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Diana ShnaiderVSMirra Andreeva
3Set 16
2Set 26

Mirra Andreeva won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Diana ShnaiderMirra Andreeva
47%
Career Win %
72%
48%
Win % on Hard
70%
70%
Holds Serve
73%
31%
Breaks Serve
41%
65%
1st Serve In
62%
64%
1st Serve Won
67%
42%
Return Pts Won
46%
2.1
Aces / match
2.9
57%
Tiebreak %
53%
25%
Deciding-set %
63%
1600
Rating
1746
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Diana Shnaider61 serves
Where they place their serve
Mirra Andreeva58 serves
Where they place their serve
10%Wide
10%Body
31%T
20%T
3%Body
26%Wide
48%Wide
2%Body
2%T
29%T
9%Body
10%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · T31%
Top targetDeuce · Wide48%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Mirra Andreeva defeated Diana Shnaider 6–3, 6–2 in the semi-final of the WTA 250 Adelaide tournament on hard court, confirming her status as pre-match favourite with odds of 1.44 to Shnaider's 2.74. Andreeva's dominant performance saw her advance to the final without conceding more than three games in either set, demonstrating control throughout the encounter. The result reflects the expected outcome, with the favourite converting her advantage into a comprehensive victory. Andreeva's progression to the final strengthens her position in the tournament and maintains her momentum heading into the championship match.