Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Diana ShnaiderOpen full analysisSorana CirsteaOpen full analysis

Indian WellshardR64Friday, March 6, 2026
No-vig market probability
Shnaider 42%58% Cirstea
2.24Recorded odds1.63
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Diana ShnaiderVSSorana Cirstea
2Set 16
6Set 27

Sorana Cirstea won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Diana ShnaiderSorana Cirstea
47%
Career Win %
48%
48%
Win % on Hard
58%
70%
Holds Serve
66%
31%
Breaks Serve
34%
65%
1st Serve In
61%
64%
1st Serve Won
64%
42%
Return Pts Won
44%
2.1
Aces / match
3.1
57%
Tiebreak %
56%
25%
Deciding-set %
30%
1600
Rating
1622
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Diana Shnaider69 serves
Where they place their serve
Sorana Cirstea66 serves
Where they place their serve
9%Wide
38%Body
7%T
9%T
13%Body
25%Wide
39%Wide
5%Body
9%T
27%T
11%Body
9%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · Body38%
Top targetDeuce · Wide39%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Sorana Cirstea defeated Diana Shnaider 6–2, 7–6 in the first round of the WTA Masters 1000 event at Indian Wells on hard court, confirming her status as the pre-match favourite with odds of 1.63 to Shnaider's 2.24. Cirstea's composed performance saw her dominate the opening set before weathering a tighter second-set contest that required a tiebreak to secure the victory. The Romanian's clinical execution in the first frame established early control, whilst her composure in the second set's deciding moments proved decisive. Cirstea's progression to the second round reinforces her current form on the North American hard-court circuit.