Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Diana ShnaiderOpen full analysisTalia GibsonOpen full analysis

Australian OpenhardR64Wednesday, January 21, 2026
No-vig market probability
Shnaider 77%23% Gibson
1.23Recorded odds4.18
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Diana ShnaiderVSTalia Gibson
3Set 16
7Set 25
6Set 33

Diana Shnaider won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Diana ShnaiderTalia Gibson
47%
Career Win %
48%
48%
Win % on Hard
48%
70%
Holds Serve
73%
31%
Breaks Serve
26%
65%
1st Serve In
58%
64%
1st Serve Won
69%
42%
Return Pts Won
40%
2.1
Aces / match
4.7
57%
Tiebreak %
50%
25%
Deciding-set %
33%
1600
Rating
1535
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Diana Shnaider96 serves
Where they place their serve
Talia Gibson99 serves
Where they place their serve
9%Wide
28%Body
16%T
17%T
14%Body
17%Wide
26%Wide
12%Body
14%T
20%T
12%Body
15%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · Body28%
Top targetDeuce · Wide26%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Diana Shnaider defeated Talia Gibson 3–6, 7–5, 6–3 in the first round of the Australian Open on hard court, confirming her status as pre-match favourite with odds of 1.23 to Gibson's 4.18. After dropping the opening set, Shnaider recovered to secure consecutive victories in the second and third sets, demonstrating composure in a match that saw momentum shifts typical of early-round Grand Slam encounters. Gibson's opening-set success proved insufficient to sustain pressure against her seeded opponent, whose experience and ranking advantage ultimately proved decisive. The result keeps Shnaider on course in the opening week of the season's first major.