Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Dominic ThiemOpen full analysisRafael NadalOpen full analysis

BrisbanehardR32Tuesday, January 2, 2024
No-vig market probability
Thiem 39%61% Nadal
2.48Recorded odds1.60
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Dominic ThiemVSRafael Nadal
5Set 17
1Set 26

Rafael Nadal won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Dominic ThiemRafael Nadal
60%
Career Win %
72%
57%
Win % on Hard
65%
82%
Holds Serve
84%
20%
Breaks Serve
27%
62%
1st Serve In
69%
72%
1st Serve Won
71%
36%
Return Pts Won
40%
5.7
Aces / match
3.5
58%
Tiebreak %
53%
66%
Deciding-set %
67%
1488
Rating
1728
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Dominic Thiem54 serves
Where they place their serve
Rafael Nadal46 serves
Where they place their serve
33%Wide
4%Body
17%T
26%T
0%Body
20%Wide
17%Wide
2%Body
33%T
4%T
17%Body
26%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · Wide33%
Top targetDeuce · T33%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Rafael Nadal defeated Dominic Thiem 7–5, 6–1 in the first round of the ATP 250 Brisbane tournament on hard court. As the pre-match favourite with odds of 1.6, Nadal delivered a convincing performance, particularly in the second set where he dominated with a 6–1 scoreline. Thiem, positioned as the underdog at 2.48, struggled to maintain consistency throughout the match, especially after a competitive opening set. The Austrian's inability to sustain the pressure in the first set proved costly, as Nadal's superior court control became increasingly evident as the match progressed. This dominant display underscored Nadal's strong form heading into the Australian summer, establishing him as a formidable threat in the early-season tournaments.