Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Dominic ThiemOpen full analysisSebastian OfnerOpen full analysis

AstanahardQFSunday, October 1, 2023
No-vig market probability
Thiem 54%46% Ofner
1.81Recorded odds2.12
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Dominic ThiemVSSebastian Ofner
7Set 15
4Set 26
2Set 36

Sebastian Ofner won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Dominic ThiemSebastian Ofner
60%
Career Win %
18%
57%
Win % on Hard
25%
82%
Holds Serve
72%
20%
Breaks Serve
19%
62%
1st Serve In
59%
72%
1st Serve Won
67%
36%
Return Pts Won
36%
5.7
Aces / match
3.5
58%
Tiebreak %
0%
66%
Deciding-set %
25%
1488
Rating
1448
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Dominic Thiem108 serves
Where they place their serve
Sebastian Ofner82 serves
Where they place their serve
28%Wide
6%Body
19%T
14%T
12%Body
22%Wide
23%Wide
7%Body
23%T
18%T
12%Body
16%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · Wide28%
Top targetDeuce · Wide23%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Sebastian Ofner defeated Dominic Thiem 5–7, 6–4, 6–2 in the quarterfinals of the ATP 250 Astana event on hard court. Thiem, the pre-match favourite at 1.81 odds, faltered after taking the opening set, allowing Ofner to seize momentum and convert the upset. Ofner's improved court positioning and consistency in the second and third sets proved decisive, as Thiem struggled to maintain the intensity that had secured the first set. The Austrian's victory marks a significant scalp at this stage of the tournament and suggests improving form heading into the latter rounds.