Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Ekaterina AlexandrovaOpen full analysisSofia KeninOpen full analysis

TokyohardQFFriday, October 24, 2025
No-vig market probability
Alexandrova 78%22% Kenin
1.21Recorded odds4.39
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Ekaterina AlexandrovaVSSofia Kenin
0Set 16
6Set 22
6Set 37

Sofia Kenin won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Ekaterina AlexandrovaSofia Kenin
54%
Career Win %
44%
55%
Win % on Hard
45%
70%
Holds Serve
69%
32%
Breaks Serve
26%
59%
1st Serve In
67%
68%
1st Serve Won
63%
42%
Return Pts Won
40%
5.3
Aces / match
1.6
41%
Tiebreak %
50%
55%
Deciding-set %
54%
1618
Rating
1545
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Ekaterina Alexandrova95 serves
Where they place their serve
Sofia Kenin98 serves
Where they place their serve
20%Wide
13%Body
20%T
25%T
3%Body
19%Wide
17%Wide
5%Body
29%T
13%T
0%Body
36%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetAd · T25%
Top targetAd · Wide36%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Sofia Kenin defeated Ekaterina Alexandrova 6-0, 2-6, 7-6 in the quarter-finals of the WTA 250 Tokyo tournament on hard court. Despite Alexandrova entering as the pre-match favourite with odds of 1.21 to Kenin's 4.39, the American produced a comeback performance after losing the second set. Kenin's victory came via a tight third-set tiebreak, suggesting Alexandrova mounted a considerable recovery from a bagel first set. The result represents a notable upset, with Kenin advancing to the semi-finals despite being the underdog heading into the encounter.